01
原文:Yasir Shahab, Chong-xiao Wang, P. Eric Yeung, and Jia-nan Zhou. The National Team: Stock Market Interventions and Corporate Catering Behavior. International Review of Financial Analysis, 2024, 93(03).
The National Team: Stock Market Interventions and Corporate Catering Behavior
ABSTRACT: We examine corporate catering behavior following the Chinese government’s stock market interventions in 2015, which result in significant stock overvaluation. The government’s direct share purchases cause higher levels of horizontal agency conflicts between the controlling and minority shareholders, and the affected firms are more likely to cater to the controlling shareholders and top executives’ aversion to receiving overvalued stocks. We focus on the changes in stock dividends and equity-based executive compensation and find evidence consistent with the catering hypothesis while employing difference-in-difference approach. Our study demonstrates the intricate interactions between state interventions and corporate decisions.
国家队:股市干预与企业迎合行为
摘要:我们研究了2015年中国政府股市干预后的企业迎合行为,这导致了显著的股票高估。政府直接购股导致控股股东和中小股东之间的横向代理冲突水平升高,受影响的企业更有可能迎合控股股东和高管对接受估值过高股票的厌恶情绪。我们关注股票股利和基于股权的高管薪酬的变化,并采用双重差分法找到符合迎合假设的证据。我们的研究证明了国家干预和企业决策之间错综复杂的相互作用。
亮点:(1)文章关注股市干预,并发现干预后控股股东和中小股东冲突加剧。作者的研究对股市干预的关注也不同于对2008年金融危机后经济刺激计划的关注,后者在宏观层面上具有更广泛的影响。股票市场干预在股票市场和公司决策之间提供了更直接的联系;(2)作者研究发现市场时机是基于股权的高管薪酬的一个重要决定因素,而以往文献并未过多探讨这一方面。同时,作者表明,市场时机也可以在解释为什么公司支付股票股息方面发挥重要作用;(3)一方面,文章关于政府直接干预后果的证据提供了股票市场估值过高与企业行为之间明确的因果关系。另一方面,在方法上,研究迎合行为需要企业利用外生错误定价的决定,而这已被证明是难以识别的。文章为这方面的研究提供了新的思路。
02
原文:Lu Li, Chunbo Liu, Yongxin Xu, Xiaoyan Zhang, and Gaoping Zheng. Crisis Rescue via direct purchase: Evidence from China. Journal of Banking and Finance, 2024, 165(05).
Crisis Rescue via direct purchase: Evidence from China
ABSTRACT: During the 2015 stock market crisis, the Chinese government used hundreds of billions of dollars to purchase shares directly in the secondary market. We find that compared with non-rescued firms, rescued firms have significantly lower liquidity after being rescued. Policy uncertainty regarding subsequent interventions better explains the reduction in liquidity than the liquidity dry-up and bad firm signaling hypotheses. Inconsistent with the potential moral hazards associated with government bailouts, the investment policies of rescued firms become more conservative after being rescued. Our evidence warns of the unintended consequences of direct purchase rescue programs.
直接购买危机救援:来自中国的证据
摘要:在2015年股市危机期间,中国政府在二级市场上直接购买了数千亿美元的股票。我们发现,与未被救助的企业相比,被救助企业在被救助后的流动性显著降低。与流动性枯竭和不良企业信号假说相比,后续干预的政策不确定性更好地解释了流动性减少。与政府救助相关的潜在道德风险不一致,被救助企业的投资政策在被救助后变得更加保守。我们的证据警示了直接购买救助计划的意想不到的后果。
亮点:(1)文章通过双重差分法进行研究,发现政府实行直接购买的救市计划后,股票流动下降,其原因就是政策不确定性,政府几乎未披露执行计划以及后续方案;(2)文章的研究采取了不同的视角,全面调查了中国政府对救助目标的选择,更重要的是,调查了中国直接购买救助计划的意外后果,为潜在的股票市场干预工具及其影响提供了新的重要见解;(3)与对同一事件的其他研究相比,作者的研究更好地帮助政府与社会了解了中国政府救助计划的整体有效性。而以往对中国直接购买救助计划的研究大多集中在干预所产生的价值上。
03
原文:Mingjin Wang, Yongyou Li, and Fuwei Chi. Synergistically Promotion Enterprises to Replace Old Growth Drivers with New Ones: The Role of Market and Government. Journal of Asian Economics, 2024, 94(03).
Synergistically Promotion Enterprises to Replace Old Growth Drivers with New Ones: The Role of Market and Government
ABSTRACT: As enterprises transition from traditional growth models to modern ones, the roles of the market and government are pivotal in facilitating this transformation. Based on the Chinese experience, this paper employs textual analysis methods to describe the transformation process from old to new growth drivers in enterprises and to identify the distinct influences of governmental and market forces. Empirical evidence demonstrates that effective government incentives and competitive market pressure both contribute significantly to development upgrades. A clear symbiotic relationship is evident between these two forces, with government intervention enhancing the effectiveness of market dynamics. However, the impact of these forces varies across different enterprises. The empirical findings suggest that by harnessing the efficient synergy between the "visible hand" of government intervention and the "invisible hand" of market forces, development modes can be upgraded, and endogenous growth can be more effectively fostered.
协同促进企业新旧动能转换:市场和政府的作用
摘要:随着企业从传统增长模式向现代增长模式的转变,市场和政府的作用在促进这种转变中起着至关重要的作用。本文以中国经验为基础,运用文本分析的方法,描述了企业新旧动能转化的过程,找出了政府和市场力量的不同影响。实证证据表明,有效的政府激励和竞争性的市场压力对发展升级都有显著的促进作用。这两种力量之间存在明显的共生关系,政府干预增强了市场动态的有效性。然而,这些力量的影响在不同的企业中是不同的。实证结果表明,发挥政府干预这只“看得见的手”和市场力量这只“看不见的手”的有效协同作用,可以促进发展方式升级,更有效地促进内生增长。
亮点:(1)文章利用中国的数据,量化和评估了过去20年企业从传统增长动力向新增长动力的转变过程。此外,文章还深入探讨了政府干预和市场动态的潜在作用和结构特征,为指导发展中国家实现经济转型和升级提供了例证;(2)文章创新地运用企业年报文本分析来描述TODND(transformation from old drivers to new drivers)的发展过程,分析这一转变过程中的趋势特征和个体差异;(3)文章通过将文本分析结果与企业研发投入、专利数量等有形指标相结合,评估企业在TODND中的陈述与行动的一致性,并实证检验了政府和市场力量在中国企业TODND中的不同作用,以及两者之间的协同关系。此外,文章还采用Shapley分解技术,区分了市场竞争和政府干预的相对贡献。
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总编:游家兴
解析:陈璐
审校:陈璐 孙倩
编辑:潘芳妍