Ten Points to Watch for CSI A500

文摘   财经   2024-09-20 07:33   上海  


The CSI A500 Index (code: 000510) is to be officially launched on 23 September 2024. This index selects 500 securities from various industries, focusing on companies with large market caps and strong liquidity, providing a comprehensive reflection of the most representative listed securities in each industry. Key characteristics of the CSI A500 Index include: 1) its component stocks represent leading companies in their respective industry segments; 2) the industry market cap distribution closely aligns with that of the CSI All Share Index; and 3) the index incorporates stock connectivity and ESG criteria in its selection process. The CSI A500 is categorized as a large-cap index, with its weighted free-float market cap positioned between the CSI 300 and CSI 800, offering extensive market cap coverage and strong representation. The index spans all 35 CSI tier-2 industries and 92 CSI tier-3 industries, maintaining a balanced distribution across sectors with low concentration in any single industry. We believe the release of the CSI A500 holds significant implications. First, it offers investment products that more accurately represent China’s economic structure. Second, its emphasis on emerging industries supports the development of new productive forces and economic transformation. Finally, the CSI A500’s selection criteria such as stock connectivity and ESG enhance its investability, attracting both domestic and international investors for medium- to long-term allocations in A-share assets. On 10 September 2024, the first batch of 10 ETFs tracking the CSI A500, including the Invesco Great Wall CSI A500 ETF, was launched.


Core Viewpoint

CSI A500 to be released – compilation rules, and features

The CSI A500 Index (code: 000510) is to be officially launched on 23 September 2024. This index selects 500 securities from various industries, focusing on companies with large market caps and strong liquidity, providing a comprehensive reflection of the most representative listed securities in each industry. Key characteristics of the CSI A500 Index include: 1) its component stocks represent leading companies in their respective industry segments; 2) the industry market cap distribution closely aligns with that of the CSI All Share Index; and 3) the index incorporates stock connectivity and ESG criteria in its selection process. With a broad market cap coverage and a balanced industry distribution, we think the CSI A500 is poised to become a more representative and widely adopted broad-based index in the A-share market. On 10 September 2024, the first batch of 10 ETFs tracking the CSI A500, including the Invesco Great Wall CSI A500 ETF, was launched.


Market cap style and industry distribution of CSI A500

The CSI A500 is categorized as a large-cap index, with its weighted free-float market cap positioned between the CSI 300 and CSI 800, offering extensive market cap coverage and strong representation. The index spans all 35 CSI tier-2 industries and 92 CSI tier-3 industries, maintaining a balanced distribution across sectors with low concentration in any single industry. The index’s sampling methodology helps ensure that its industry market cap distribution closely aligns with the sample space, reflecting the evolving structure of China’s economy while mitigating industry-specific risks.


Differences between CSI A500 & CSI 500/CSI A50

The CSI A500 differs from the CSI 500 in two main ways: 1) market cap distribution – CSI A500 constituents rank among the top 500 in the market, while CSI 500 constituents rank between the top 300 and top 800; 2) Industry neutrality – the CSI A500 emphasizes balanced industry allocations compared with the CSI 500. Both indices belong to the CSI A-share series, considering factors such as ESG, stock connectivity, and industry neutrality. However, the primary distinction between the two lies in the ‘width’ of coverage, with the CSI A500 offering broader inclusion. Its sampling methodology, market cap focus, and industry allocation share significant similarities with those of the S&P 500, positioning the CSI A500 as a potential ‘Chinese version of the S&P 500,’ in our view.


How to invest in CSI A500 and significance of the launch of CSI A500

On 10 September 2024, the first batch of 10 ETFs tracking the CSI A500, including the Invesco Great Wall CSI A500 ETF (code: 159353), was launched, enabling investors to gain exposure to the A500 through ETF products. We believe the release of the CSI A500 holds significant implications. First, it offers investment products that more accurately represent China’s economic structure. Second, its emphasis on emerging industries supports the development of new productive forces and economic transformation. Finally, the CSI A500’s selection criteria such as stock connectivity and ESG enhance its investability, attracting both domestic and international investors for medium- to long-term allocations in A-share assets.


Main Text

Ten Points to Watch for CSI A500

The CSI A500 Index is set to be officially launched on 23 September 2024. Our analysis outlines 10 key aspects highlighting the index’s characteristics and investment value, and focuses on critical factors such as its compilation methodology and style features, offering investors a thorough understanding of the CSI A500 Index.


#1: Compilation methodology for CSI A500

The CSI A500 Index is compiled by China Securities Index Company, selecting 500 securities with large market cap and strong liquidity from various sectors, so as to reflect the overall performance of the most representative listed securities across sectors. The index is identified by code 000510 and abbreviated as CSI A500, with a base date of 31 December 2004 and a base point of 1,000.


Sample space

The CSI A500’s sample space is consistent with that of the CSI All Share Index, covering A-shares listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE), Shenzhen Stock Exchange (SZSE), and Beijing Stock Exchange (BSE) that fulfill the following conditions:

1) Non-ST/*ST stocks and non-suspended stocks;

2) STAR Market and BSE-listed securities must be listed for over one year and two years, respectively;

3) A-share listings of over one quarter are eligible unless the stock ranks among the top 30 of all A-shares listed on SSE, SZSE, and BSE by average daily total market cap since its listing.


Sample selection criteria

For a security to be included in the CSI A500, it must meet the following criteria:

1) Investability: The security must rank among the top 90% of the sample space based on average daily turnover over the past year;

2) ESG rating: A CSI ESG rating of C or above is required;

3) Market cap: It must rank among the top 1,500 in terms of total market cap;

4) Stock connectivity: The security must be a constituent of the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect program or the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect program;

5) Industry leadership: Main board securities must represent at least 2% of the free-float market cap within their respective CSI tier-3 industries.


The selection process follows a two-step procedure for candidate securities meeting above- mentioned criteria:

1) Prioritize securities with the largest free-float market cap in tier-3 industries or those whose total market cap rank within the top 1% of the sample space for inclusion in the index;

2) Among the remaining eligible securities, a certain number is selected from the CSI tier-1 sectors based on free-float market cap, ensuring that the final number of index constituents reaches 500. The distribution of free-float market cap across CSI tier-1 sectors is aligned as closely as possible with that of the sample space. To do so, the following method is applied: for each step of the sample selection process, the share of the CSI tier-1 sectors by free-float market cap in the index sample is calculated. The sector with the lowest market cap share relative to that of the sample space is identified, and the security with the largest free-float market cap in that sector is added to the index. This process is repeated until the total number of samples reaches 500.


Weighting methodology

The CSI A500 index, in addition to using a free-float market cap-weighted and tiered approach, applies a weighting factor to adjust for constituents that have excessive weights. Ultimately, the adjusted market cap of each constituent determines its final weight in the index. Specifically, the weight of any sample constituent shall not exceed 10%, and the combined weight of the top five constituents is capped at 40%.


Sample adjustments

There are two types of index sampling adjustments, namely regular and temporary adjustment:

1) Regular adjustment: The index undergoes a sample adjustment every six months, specifically on the next trading day following the second Friday of June and December each year. Weighting factors are adjusted in sync with the index, and after the adjustment, they are generally maintained until the next regular adjustment. The proportion of samples adjusted at each interval typically does not exceed 10%. A buffer mechanism is in place to ensure that if the free float market cap of existing samples in their CSI tier-3 sectors on the main board is 1% or higher, they remain as candidate samples. When replenishing samples to ensure the total number remains 500, priority is given to new samples ranked within the top 400, while existing samples ranked within the top 600 are also prioritized for retention.

2) Temporary adjustment: This occurs under special circumstances. For example, if a sample is delisted, it is promptly removed from the index. Acquisitions, mergers, and spin-offs are handled according to the event management rules set by the China Securities Index Company. Additionally, if adjustments of the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect or the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect affect a sample’s eligibility, the index is updated accordingly.


#2: Significant features of the CSI A500

Feature 1: industry segment leaders

The CSI A500 index primarily consists of leading companies from each industry segment.

The key selection process for CSI A500 focuses on companies with the largest market cap within each CSI tier-3 industry, or those within the top 1% by total market cap in the sample space. This approach, with sampling based on tier-3 industries, helps ensure comprehensive coverage of industry segment leaders, while the combination of market cap share and total market cap rankings helps guarantee the index captures the most representative companies.
Feature 2: consistency of sectoral market cap distribution with CSI All Share Index

A sampling methodology is adopted to ensure that the market cap distribution across sectors of the CSI A500 aligns with that of the CSI All Share Index:

1) Selecting industry leaders from CSI tier-3 industries, to ensure coverage across all industry segments.

2) Utilizing a cyclic sampling method that adds samples based on their market cap share within tier-1 sectors, thereby maintaining consistency in market cap distribution across sectors with that of the sample space.


A comparison of the allocation weights of CSI A500 and CSI All Share Index across all CSI tier-1 sectors as follows reveals minimal deviation, with an average absolute deviation for all 11 CSI tier-1 sectors of only 0.36%.



Feature 3: ESG and stock connectivity
Compared with other mainstream broad-based indices, the CSI A500 incorporates both ESG and stock connectivity screening criteria during its sampling process.


ESG: The CSI A500 excludes securities with lower CSI ESG ratings from its sample pool. This helps mitigate the risk of major negative events within the index while safeguarding investors’ interests. ESG, which evaluates companies based on environmental, social responsibility, and corporate governance factors, offers an additional lens for identifying high-quality enterprises beyond financial metrics.


Connectivity: Securities eligible for the CSI A500 must be constituents of the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect or the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect. This facilitates international capital allocation to core A-share assets. The CSI A500 is hence positioned to become a vital link between China’s A-share market and the global capital market, potentially attracting foreign capital inflows and enhancing the international competitiveness and recognition of A-shares, in our view.


#3: Market cap style of CSI A500

Overall, the CSI A500 index is large-cap oriented.


It defines intervals based on the free-float market caps of constituents and calculates the percentage of the constituent weights in each interval, as well as their corresponding weighted free-float market caps, and then compared with other mainstream broad-based indices. The market cap distribution of the CSI A500 is closely aligned with that of the CSI 300 and CSI 800 indices.




In terms of market cap coverage, the CSI A500 constituents represent 55.1% of the total free-float market cap of the CSI All Share Index, offering substantial market cap coverage.


#4: Industry distribution of CSI A500
The CSI A500 constituents are distributed across all 35 CSI tier-2 industries and 92 CSI tier-3 industries, providing broad coverage and a high degree of alignment with the industry composition of the CSI All Share Index.


According to the CSI tier-1 sector classification, the CSI A500 places significant weight on the industrials, financial, information technology, raw materials, and major consumer sectors. The top three sectors account for 49.6% of the total weighting, while the top five sectors contribute 69.3%.


Similarly, using CITIC’s tier-1 classification, the CSI A500 is heavily allocated to electronics, banks, power equipment and new energy, food & beverages, and pharmaceuticals, with the top three sectors comprising 27.6% and the top five 43.5% of the weighting.




When compared with indices such as the CSI A50, SSE 50, and CSI 300, the CSI A500 is underweighted in finance but overweighed in industrials and information technology. Notably, the average absolute deviation in sector allocation weights between the CSI A500 and the CSI All Share Index is only 0.36%, lower than other broad-based indices, underscoring the A500’s close alignment with the CSI All Share Index.




#5: Significance of consistent sector distribution with sample space
The consistency of the CSI A500’s sectoral market cap distribution with the CSI All Share Index presents the following key advantages, in our view:
1) Better representation of China’s economic structure by index constituents;
2) Sector-neutral approach can diversify sector-specific risks, likely to enhance investment experience.

Advantage 1: better representation of China’s economic structure
The sector weight allocation of the CSI A500 is highly consistent with that of the CSI All Share Index. The weighting mirrors China’s evolving economic landscape, encompassing companies with significant growth potential. As China advances towards high-quality economic development, the dynamic adjustment methodology of the CSI A500 in terms of proportions across various sectors ensures that its sector allocations adapt to structural shifts in China’s economy.

Advantage 2: diversification of sector-specific risks
Given the pronounced sector rotation in A-shares, the sector-neutral approach of the CSI A500 helps mitigate sector-specific risks and reduce volatility from overweight or underweight positions. Historical data from the past five years indicates that no single sector consistently leads the market; rather, sectoral returns fluctuate, with investment themes rotating frequently.



The CSI A500 index has relatively diverse sector allocations with low concentration in any single sector. Unlike mainstream broad-based indices such as the SSE 50 and CSI 300, where banks, food & beverages, and non-banking finance have high shares, the CSI 500 is heavily weighted towards sectors such as pharmaceuticals, basic chemicals, and machinery, and are relatively prone to fluctuations. The industry-neutral allocations of the CSI A500 help mitigate industry-specific risks and reduce volatility, thereby enhancing the overall investment experience for investors, to some extent.



#6: Differences between CSI A500 and CSI 500

Despite their similar names, the CSI A500 index and the CSI 500 index differ significantly in their compilation methodology, market cap style, industry allocation, and weighting methods. Key differences include:
1) Market cap distribution: The CSI A500 constituents roughly rank among the top 500 in the A-share market by market cap, whereas the CSI 500 constituents generally rank between the top 300 to 800.
2) Sector-neutral approach: The CSI A500 emphasizes balanced sector allocation more than the CSI 500. It prioritizes the selection of CSI tier-3 industry leaders and aims to keep the distribution of the CSI tier-1 sectors by the free-float market cap consistent with that of the sample space. In contrast, the CSI 500 selects samples directly based on market caps.

#7: Differences between CSI A500 and CSI A50
Both the CSI A50 and CSI A500 belong to the CSI A series of indices and released in 2024. They both consider factors such as ESG criteria, stock connectivity, and industry neutrality in their selection processes. The main difference lies in the ‘width’ of the indices: the CSI A500 includes a larger number of constituent stocks representing leading companies in a wider range of niche industries, which points to broader coverage and stronger representation.

#8: Does the CSI A500 rival the S&P 500?
The S&P 500 Index, launched on 4 March 1957, is widely regarded as the benchmark for measuring the US large-cap stock market. It features broad coverage, balanced industry allocations, and strong market representation, including the top 500 listed companies in the US, which account for about 80% of the total market cap of the US stock market.

Comparing the index compilation schemes, the CSI A500 and the S&P 500 share the following similarities:
1) Leading stocks: Both indices focus on the top 500 leading stocks in their respective markets, ensuring that the constituents are well represented.
2) Well-balanced industry distribution: Both indices consider sector balance in their sample selection, aiming to align the distribution of sample sectors with that of the overall market rather than simply selecting samples based on market cap rankings.

Overall, the CSI A500 exhibits a high degree of similarity with the S&P 500 and is poised to become the ‘Chinese version of the S&P 500,’ in our view.



#9: How to invest in the CSI A500?

On 10 September 2024, the first batch of 10 ETFs tracking the CSI A500, including the Invesco Great Wall CSI A500 ETF (fund code: 159353), was launched, enabling investors to gain exposure to the A500 through ETF products.


Invesco Great Wall Fund, a leader in the ETF space for years, leverages the expertise of its foreign shareholder, Invesco, to expand its offerings both domestically and internationally. The company’s ETF business has grown rapidly in recent years by developing a distinctive range of index products focused on Beta enhancements. The launch of its CSI A500 ETF marks a significant step in further upgrading its Beta offerings and strengthens Invesco Great Wall’s position in the broad-based A-share market.

#10: Significance of launch of the CSI A500
We perceive the significance of releases of the CSI A500 and its ETFs as follows:
1) Providing more representative investment products: The CSI A500 serves as an important addition to A-share broad-based indices, offering investors a diverse market benchmark. Compared to traditional market cap-weighted indices, the CSI A500 strikes a better balance between market cap and industry representation, capturing structural shifts in the capital market and the ongoing transformation and upgrading of industries in China;
2) Supporting economic transformation and new productive forces: Unlike mainstream broad-based indices, the CSI A500 increases the weighting of sectors such as industrials, information technology, and communication services – sectors that represent new productive forces. By incorporating high-quality blue chips alongside emerging growth industries, the CSI A500 highlights key growth drivers and potential within China’s economic transformation. This helps guide capital flowing into sectors related to new productive forces, aligning the capital market with the real economy;
3) Promoting internationalization of A-shares: The A-series indices ranging from the CSI A50 to the CSI A500 integrate criteria related to stock connectivity and ESG ratings, enhancing their investability. This makes them well suited for both domestic and foreign investors in the medium- to long-term term, further enriching the range of A-share investment options. The CSI A500 is poised to become a key benchmark for tracking the A-share market, in our view.


Risks
This report summarizes historical data, which cannot be solely relied upon to project future outcomes. This report does not evaluate securities investment fund businesses, and all referenced fund product information is derived from public and objective sources. The content is for informational purposes only. Investors should assess their risk tolerance, fully consider the impact of index composition rules, changes in sample stocks, shifts in market styles, and other factors, and make independent investment decisions while assuming the associated risks.


Relative Research Report

Research Report:《Financial Engineering: Ten Points to Watch for CSI A500September 11, 2024

Analyst: Lin Xiaoming  S0570516010001 | BPY421

Analyst: He Kang         S0570520080004 | BRB318


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