意大利氢能布局提速,欲赶超欧盟国家

文摘   2024-10-25 18:21   北京  


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根据Fuel Cells Works(FCW)报道,在刚刚结束的2024威尼斯氢能论坛上,意大利环境和能源安全部长Gilberto Pichetto Fratin介绍了意大利氢能战略的概况。他指出,意大利致力于成为欧洲大陆氢气运输的枢纽,为此制定了国家氢能战略并将提出一系列举措,包括部署电解槽和其他干预措施。该计划也是欧洲在能源安全和向可再生能源转型方面广泛一致行动的一部分。

据Montel 报道,意大利正在审查其氢能生产、基础设施和监管框架战略,计划赶上其他已设定 2030-2050 年目标的欧洲国家。


由于没有明确的氢能计划,意大利一直落后于德国和西班牙等国,但专家表示,通过向其他国家借鉴学习,意大利将通过制定氢能新战略以弥补差距。


“我们正在追赶其他国家,意大利的优势在于可以学习其他国家的经验,并避免他们的错误。” 一位业内人士说。


据Montel了解,意大利氢能战略草案概述了 2030-2050年间的三种情景


在最雄心勃勃的一个情景中,到2050年,意大利氢能年产量将达到约230万吨,进口量将接近100万吨,净消费量为280万吨


一位了解情况的消息人士称,这些数字在文件的最终版本中可能会增加20%以上。


根据草案,到2030年,意大利的可再生能源电解槽总容量将达到3GW,到 2050 年将达到19GW。到2050年,氢能将占意大利终端天然气消耗量的15%-25%


作为氢能战略的一部分,欧盟的目标是到2030年在整个欧洲大陆安装至少40 GW 的可再生氢电解槽,每年生产高达1000万吨的可再生氢,并进口大约相同数量的可再生氢。


氢能泡沫?

这位业内人士补充说,尽管人们担心潜在的“氢能泡沫”,但市场依然强劲。


“我不认为欧洲的氢能泡沫已经破灭,”他指的是几个被搁置或推迟的欧洲项目。他指出,氢能的发展“不会是线性的”,因为这一市场仍在建设中,最初会经历起伏,一旦South H2 Corridor (指一条连接北非、意大利、奥地利和德国的氢气管道走廊)等规划中的基础设施投入使用,市场就会趋于稳定。

成本

业内人士补充道,2030年至2050年期间,意大利生产可再生氢的成本约在6欧元/千克至20欧元/千克之间,而国家采取的6-8欧元/千克的激励措施可以帮助企业提高竞争力。


相比之下,战略草案中提到,北非生产绿氢的成本可能低于5欧元/千克,通过管道运输到欧洲的成本在0.2欧元/千克到1欧元/千克之间。


氢能协会H2IT主席Alberto Dossi说,需要采取激励措施增强氢能的竞争力,同时大力支持基础设施建设,推动意大利与其他氢能市场的连接。


意大利环境和能源安全部主管Federico Boschi在H2IT于罗马组织的一次活动上表示,意大利必须“从零开始”发展氢能行业,需要给予许多小型生产基地的及时激励,逐步向一个拥有完善监管的复杂市场转型。


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Italy set to catch up with EU countries in hydrogen strategy


(Montel) Italy is reviewing its strategy on hydrogen production, infrastructure and regulatory frameworks and is set to catch up with other European nations that have existing 2030-2050 targets, experts told Montel.

Without a clear hydrogen plan, Italy has been lagging countries like Germany and Spain but could make up the delay with a new strategy that learns from others, they said.


“We are arriving after others, but we have the advantage of learning from other countries experience and avoiding their mistakes,” said an industry source. 


A draft of Italy’s hydrogen strategy seen by Montel outlines three scenarios for the period 2030-2050.

In the most ambitious one, Italy’s annual production would total about 2.3m tonnes by 2050, imports would near 1m tonnes and net consumption was pegged at 2.8m tonnes.


These figures could increase by over 20% in the final version of the document, a source close to the dossier told Montel.


Italy’s renewables electrolyser capacity would total 3 GW by 2030 and 19 GW by 2050, according to the draft. By 2050, hydrogen could account for 15-25% of Italy’s final gas consumption.


As part of its hydrogen strategy, the EU aims to install at least 40 GW of renewable hydrogen electrolysers across the continent by 2030 and produce up to 10m tonnes of renewable hydrogen per year and import around the same amount.


Hydrogen bubble?


Despite concerns of a potential “hydrogen bubble”, the market remains robust, the industry source added.

“I don’t think the hydrogen bubble has burst in Europe,” he said, in reference to several European projects being shelved or delayed.

Hydrogen development “will not have a linear path” as it is a market still being built, which will experience ups and downs initially and stabilise once planned infrastructures like the South H2 Corridor are in use, he noted.


Costs


The costs for producing renewable hydrogen in Italy from 2030 to 2050 could range between EUR 6/kg and EUR 20/kg, while a state incentive of EUR 6-8/kg could help businesses make the venture competitive, the industry source added.


In contrast, green hydrogen produced in North Africa could cost less than EUR 5/kg, with transportation costs to Europe via pipeline ranging from EUR 0.2/kg to EUR 1/kg, according to the draft strategy.


Incentives are needed to make hydrogen competitive, along with strong support for infrastructure to open Italy to other hydrogen markets, said Alberto Dossi, president of the hydrogen association H2IT.


Italy must develop the sector “from scratch”, transitioning from spot incentives for many small production sites to a more complex market with dedicated regulation, Federico Boschi, head of the energy department at the ministry, told Montel at an event organised by the H2IT association in Rome.


本文 2024 年 10 月 17 日发布于Montelnews。文章仅代表作者观点,不代表本公众号立场。

封面图源:Bulent camci/Shutterstock.com

翻译 审校/韩迪 吕雅宁     编辑/包林洁

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