欧盟近半成员国的风光发电量超过化石燃料发电量

文摘   2024-08-15 18:07   北京  
智库Ember的最新报告显示,今年上半年,欧盟化石燃料发电量与上年同期相比下降了17%,风电和光伏的发电量占比达到30%,超过了化石燃料发电量。其中,13个成员国的风能和太阳能发电量超过煤电和天然气发电量,其中德国、比利时、匈牙利和荷兰首次达成这一里程碑式成就。

报告发现,2022年上半年以来,电力行业的持续转型使欧盟该行业的排放量下降了三分之一。

Ember的分析师Chris Rosslowe说,风能和太阳能的崛起正在弱化化石燃料发电的作用。“我们正在见证电力行业迅速发生着历史性转变。

报告发现,2023年上半年到2024年上半年,欧盟发电消费的煤炭和天然气分别减少了24%14%。尽管电力需求在疫情和俄乌战争的两年降低之后出现了小幅回升,更清洁低碳的转变还是出现了。

Rosslowe说:“如果成员国保持风能和太阳能部署的势头,摆脱对化石能源的依赖将真正开始。”

图1 欧盟电力部门每年上半年的排放量


欧洲贡献过历史上最高的温室气体排放,也提出了数个现在最具有雄心的气候目标。俄乌冲突以来,欧洲领导人加快了向可再生能源的转型。

对比太阳能行业的蓬勃发展,风能产业却因为高通胀以及政客和公众的持续反对举步维艰。根据游说团体“欧洲风能”(Wind Power Europe)的数据,2023年欧盟新增风电装机容量达到了创纪录的16.2GW,但这只是欧盟在2030年实现气候目标所需装机容量的一半左右。

政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)和国际能源署(International Energy Agency)模拟的情景显示,要实现清洁经济所需的大部分电力将来自风电和太阳能。

图2 2024年上半年欧盟风能和太阳能发电量超过化石燃料发电量


丹麦技氨气术大学科学家Andrea Hahmann与他人合作撰写了IPCC报告中关于能源系统的一章,她说这一发展“意义重大,但意料之中”。

“2024年上半年,北欧地区风力强劲,产生了大量风电。”她说:“风光发电超过化石电力说明欧盟的电力转型是可行的,我们不应陷入悲观情绪。尽管可再生能源目标艰巨,但在适当的政策措施下,是可以实现的。


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Wind and solar energy overtake fossil fuels to provide 30% of EU electricity


Report finds 13 member states generated more energy from wind and solar power than coal and gas for first time in 2024


Wind turbines and solar panels have overtaken fossil fuels to generate 30% of the European Union’s electricity in the first half of the year, a report has found.


Power generation from burning coal, oil and gas fell 17% in the first six months of 2024 compared with the same period the year before, according to climate thinktank Ember. It found the continued shift away from polluting fuels has led to a one-third drop in the sector’s emissions since the first half of 2022.


Chris Rosslowe, an analyst at Ember, said the rise of wind and solar was narrowing the role of fossil fuels. “We are witnessing a historic shift in the power sector, and it is happening rapidly.”


The report found EU power plants burned 24% less coal and 14% less gas from the first half of 2023 to the first half of 2024. The shift comes despite a small uptick in electricity demand that has followed two years of decline linked to the pandemic and Ukraine war.


“If member states can keep momentum up on wind and solar deployment then freedom from fossil power reliance will truly start to come into view,” said Rosslowe.


Europe is among the biggest historical polluters that have contributed the planet-heating gas that has made extreme weather more violent, but it also has some of the most ambitious targets to clean up its economy. Since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, European leaders have sped up their shift to renewables with stronger rhetoric and looser permitting rules.


But while solar power has boomed, the wind industry has struggled with high inflation on top of continued opposition from politicians and the public. The EU installed a record 16.2GW of new wind power capacity in 2023, according to the lobby group Wind Power Europe, but this was about half of what was needed that year to meet its climate targets for the end of the decade.


Scenarios modelled by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and International Energy Agency show that most of the electricity needed to power a clean economy will come from rays of sunlight shining on panels and gusts of wind spinning turbines.


The Ember report found 13 member states generated more electricity from wind and solar than from fossil fuels in the first half of the year. Germany, Belgium, Hungary and the Netherlands hit that milestone for the first time, the authors found.


Andrea Hahmann, a scientist at Denmark Technical University who co-wrote an IPCC report chapter on energy systems, said the development was “significant but not surprising”.


“Strong winds were prevalent during the first six months of 2024 in northern Europe, where most wind energy is generated,” she said. “The ‘crossing of the lines’ demonstrates that the EU’s electricity transition is possible, and we should not give in to pessimism. The renewable energy targets that must be met are substantial but achievable with the proper policy measures.”


本文 2024 年 7 月 30 日发布于The Guardian。文章仅代表作者观点,不代表本公众号立场。

原报告链接:https://ember-climate.org/insights/research/eu-wind-and-solar-overtake-fossil-fuels/#supporting-material

封面图源:unsplash

翻译 审校/韩迪 李鑫迪     编辑/包林洁

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