高质量发展中的绿色底色：出口视角下绿色产品渗透与路径依赖
文摘
财经
2024-09-30 14:39
上海
高质量发展中的绿色底色：出口视角下绿色产品渗透与路径依赖
Green Background in China’s High-quality Development: Green Product Penetration and Path Dependence from the Perspective of Export
《财经研究》2024年50卷第8期 页码：4-18, 78 online：2024年8月3日
中：韩超 , 岳巧钰
英：Han Chao, Yue Qiaoyu
作者单位：东北财经大学 企业组织与产业组织研究中心，辽宁 大连 116025
摘要：绿色低碳是中国高质量发展的底色，也是中国实现增长方式转变，推动人与自然和谐发展的重要方向。然而，目前对中国绿色发展依然缺乏科学的测度，也无法了解其内在发展的底层逻辑。文章将产品绿色属性纳入技术复杂度的分析框架，基于出口产品的微观视角测度中国绿色发展水平，并分析了其在时间维度的变动趋势，进而从产品渗透以及路径依赖方面来揭示绿色发展的底层逻辑。研究发现：出口视角下，中国绿色发展呈现稳定的上升趋势；绿色产品在持续产品和新增产品两个维度的双重渗透构成了中国绿色发展的基本路径，且我国绿色渗透的主要形式为持续产品，主体为低技术产品，主要目的地为经济较发达地区，主要行业为机械电子制造业。进一步研究发现，中国绿色发展道路存在显著的路径依赖特征，且绿色路径依赖的主要影响因素为绿色技术和环境规制。根据研究结论，文章认为，未来需加大绿色产品和绿色项目的投资，同时提早做好绿色发展的技术以及路径储备，为进一步厚植高质量发展的绿色底色提供助推力。
Summary: Behind the rapid economic growth in China, the extensive development mode of “high energy-consumption, high pollution, and high growth” has always been criticized. In fact, China has made unremitting efforts to control pollution emissions and promote green and high-quality development, and has achieved very remarkable results. However, due to the lack of measurement on China’s green development from a micro perspective, and the lack of comprehensive analysis of its internal logic, it is impossible to scientifically evaluate the progress made in green high-quality development, and promote the scientific decision-making of future policies according to micro behavior laws. This paper incorporates the green attributes of products into the framework of technological complexity, measures the level of China’s green development from a micro perspective, and then reveals the underlying logic of green development from the perspectives of product penetration and path dependence. The study finds that: China’s green development shows a stable upward trend; the dual penetration of green products in the dimensions of continuous products and new products constitutes the basic path of China’s green development; for green penetration in China, its main form is continuous products, its main body is low-tech products, its main destination is economically developed areas, and its main industry is mechanical and electronic manufacturing. Further research finds that the green development path of China exhibits a significant characteristic of path dependence, and its main influencing factors are green technology and environmental regulations. The marginal contributions of this paper are as follows: First, on the basis of the list of green products, it positions green development at the product level, and based on the perspective of export, it constructs the green development index, providing a basic case for examining the level of China’s green development at the micro level and carrying out empirical analysis. Second, it reveals the green penetration phenomenon and green path dependence characteristic behind China’s green development, opens the black box of green development products, and describes the main driving forces of green development, providing experience reference and path inspiration for further planning the green development path.
Key words: green development; product penetration; path dependence; RD innovation
DOI：10.16538/j.cnki.jfe.20240614.301
收稿日期：2024-02-07
基金项目：国家自然科学基金面上项目（72173015）；国家社会科学基金重大项目（22&ZD102）；辽宁省社会科学基金重大项目（L23ZD024）
