【Advances in Applied Energy】向低碳氢经济迈进的有关经验和关键启迪--基于国家层次的案例研究

学术   科学   2025-01-24 18:30   美国  

原文信息:

Moving toward the low-carbon hydrogen economy Experiences and key learnings from national case studies

原文链接:

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666792422000269

Highlights

•Hydrogen can contribute to achieve net-zero greenhouse gas emission energy systems.

•The value chain must be assessed to identify the integration potential of hydrogen.

•Provides insights on challenges together with decision-support tools.

•Presents examples of methodologies and results in context of 5 European countries.

•Highlights common European drivers for the hydrogen economy.

摘要

正如IPCC关于1.5℃全球变暖的特别报告首次指出的内容所述,到2050年前实现二氧化碳净零排放这一目标的紧迫性促使人们重新对氢能源生产和应用产生兴趣,以作为用能端电气化的重要补充措施,促进经济运行能达到普遍脱碳的水平。本文研究中,笔者们将对未来氢气需求进行估算,并对氢气生产运输、氢气储存基础设施优化、可行商业案例的开发历程和这些案例的使用寿命周期及环境影响评估进行总结和反思。随后,笔者们归纳并强调了在德国、英国、荷兰、瑞士和挪威等地与氢能有关商业案例研究中常见的挑战和机遇。值得注意的是,广大工业企业和部门使用氢气是一个重要的驱动因素,可以刺激大规模的氢气生产与存储的价值链产生。从长远发展的视角来看,氢气对有关运输企业和部门也变得十分重要。通过碳捕获与封存(CCS),天然气制氢技术可在未来可预期的一个时段内能实现大规模制氢,并与可再生能源制氢相辅相成。此外,及时建立氢气和二氧化碳存储的基础设施可作为支撑碳减排技术完全部署前的关键之锚,例如直接进行空气碳捕获和储存(DACCS)以及利用CCS进行生物制氢。要实现以上规划,这需要大量公共层面的支持,以确保协调规划、治理和建立支持性监管框架,从而促进氢市场的深入发展。

Abstract

The urgency to achieve net-zero carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions by 2050, as first presented by the IPCC special report on 1.5 °C Global Warming, has spurred renewed interest in hydrogen, to complement electrification, for widespread decarbonization of the economy. We present reflections on estimates of future hydrogen demand, optimization of infrastructure for hydrogen production, transport and storage, development of viable business cases, and environmental impact evaluations using life cycle assessments. We highlight challenges and opportunities that are common across studies of the business cases for hydrogen in Germany, the UK, the Netherlands, Switzerland and Norway. The use of hydrogen in the industrial sector is an important driver and could incentivise large-scale hydrogen value chains. In the long-term hydrogen becomes important also for the transport sector. Hydrogen production from natural gas with capture and permanent storage of the produced CO2 (CCS) enables large-scale hydrogen production in the intermediate future and is complementary to hydrogen from renewable power. Furthermore, timely establishment of hydrogen and CO2 infrastructures serves as an anchor to support the deployment of carbon dioxide removal technologies, such as direct air carbon capture and storage (DACCS) and biohydrogen production with CCS. Significant public support is needed to ensure coordinated planning, governance, and the establishment of supportive regulatory frameworks which foster the growth of hydrogen markets.

Keywords

Low-carbon hydrogen

CCS

Energy transition

Low-carbon economy

Integrated analysis

Fig.2.Long-term analysis of emissions, Swiss case study: a) CO2 emissions from fuel combustion (excluding international aviation) and industrial processes in the Net-Zero scenario; about 2.6 Mt CO2/yr. are net negative emissions in 2050 offsetting emissions mainly from industry; the dashed line represents the emissions in the Baseline scenario. b) CO2 captured from different sources to achieve net-zero in 2050.

Fig.4.The evolution of the installed capacity of a) hydrogen storage with time and b) production technologies.

Fig.5.Levelized costs of hydrogen (LCOH) for transport of CO2 and hydrogen for a German hydrogen demand of a) 5 580 kt/yr. and b) 3 730 kt/yr. The star corresponds to the net costs.

Fig.6.Business Model Development Methodology adopted.

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