每日原则: 使用以证据为基础的决策工具

文摘   2024-08-27 20:01   中国香港  

这些原则的目的是帮助你控制较低层次的动物性自我,让更理性的、较高层次的决策头脑处于主导地位。

假如你能让大脑较低层次的部分停止工作,让一个决策计算机取而代之,由其提供以逻辑为基础的指示,就像我们用桥水的投资系统做的那样,你觉得如何?假设这个基于计算机的决策机器的决策质量比你的好得多,因为它拥有更强的逻辑能力,能更快地处理更多的信息,在决策时不被情绪左右,你会用它吗?为了应对职业生涯中的各种挑战,我已经打造了这样的工具,而且我相信,假如没有它们我绝不可能这么成功。我毫不怀疑,未来这样的“机器思考”工具将继续发展,而聪明的决策者将学会如何将它们融合到思考过程当中。我建议你了解这些工具并考虑使用它们。

These principles were designed to help you get control over your lower-level/animal you and put your better, higher-level decision-making brain in charge. What if you could unplug that lower part of your brain entirely and instead connect with a decision-making computer that gives you logically derived instructions, as we do with our investment systems? 

Suppose this computer-based decision-making machine has a much better track record than you because it captures more logic, processes more information more quickly, and makes decisions without being emotionally hijacked. Would you use it? In confronting the challenges I’ve faced in the course of my career I’ve created exactly such tools, and I am convinced that I would not have been nearly as successful without them. I have no doubt that in the years ahead such “machine-thinking” tools will continue to develop and that smart decision makers will learn how to integrate them into their thinking. I urge you to learn about them and consider using them.


瑞·达利欧官方微信公众号: raydalio_


《每日原则》为瑞·达利欧(Ray Dalio) 原创,

《原则》团队翻译,欢迎分享,转载请注明出处。


瑞达利欧
瑞·达利欧 (Ray Dalio) 是世界顶级投资家,企业家,桥水基金创始人,畅销书《原则》作者。《原则》分享了帮助其有效达到目标的生活和工作原则,蝉联畅销榜首位。
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