原文发表于美国时间2024-9-3
美股市场在上周五大涨,道琼斯工业平均指数和等权重标普500指数分别创收盘新高。这就是美股市场在进入劳工节长周末之前给人带来的良好感觉。
今天早上美股市场给人带来不那么好的感觉,但这并不意味着情况很糟糕。市场上有一种感觉是周五收盘前出现的购买偏好正在消退,因为交易者们意识到对于已经大幅上涨的美股市场市场而言,涨幅有点过头了。
例如,周五收盘时,标普500指数较8月5日的低点上涨了10.3%,纳斯达克综合指数则上涨了12.8%。
标普500指数期货目前下跌28点,交易价格低于公允价值0.6%,纳斯达克100指数期货下跌132点,交易价格低于公允价值0.7%,道琼斯工业平均指数期货下跌205点,交易价格低于公允价值0.5%。
看跌情绪部分源于一些自然产生的盘整交易,这种盘整令人们想起了往往9月是美股市场平均表现最差的月份。
今天上午部分大型股的疲软对主要指数产生了影响。另一个拖累因素是道琼斯成分股波音公司下跌了4.3%,此前富国银行将波音公司的评级从“持有”下调为“减持”,目标价为119美元。
今天上午的公司新闻相对较少。经济新闻方面也是如此,但这种情况很快就会改变,美国东部时间上午9:45将公布8月标普全球美国制造业PMI终值(前值为48.0)、美国东部时间上午10:00将公布7月建筑支出报告(Briefing.com预期为0.2%;前值为-0.3%),美国东部时间上午10:00将公布8月ISM制造业指数(Briefing.com预期为47.5%;前值为46.8%)。
最后一项数据具有影响市场走势的能力,因为该数据提供了有关制造业状况的重要信号。低于50.0%的数字就意味着美国经济正在萎缩。
不过,劳动力市场数据将是本周的数据焦点。这是因为美联储已经表明评估经济时会密切关注就业状况。因此,劳动力市场的趋势将推动市场对美联储降息速度和范围的判断。
ISM数据报告中有一个就业指数,但除此之外,周三还将公布7月职位空缺和劳动力流动调查数据(JOLTS)、周四将公布8月ADP就业数据报告和每周首次申请失业金人数,周五还将公布8月就业形势报告。
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懂行的,选盈透!
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