经济的坏数据和美股的好消息

文摘   2024-06-21 07:24   美国  

原文发表于美国时间2024-6-20

周四早上公布了数项美国经济数据,其中,每周失业救济金申请数据略高于市场预期,新屋开工和建筑许可大幅收缩,费城联储商业前景调查指数出现了下降。

周四经济数据的重点:

  • 截至615日当周,美国首次申请失业救济人数减少5000人,降至至 23.8万人,略高于Econoday追踪的市场预期23.5万人。

  • 首次申请失业金人数的四周移动平均值(可消除周的数据波动)从 227250人增加至232750人,创下20239月以来的最高水平。

  • 20245月的新屋开工数量大幅下降,按月环比下降5.5%,降至年化率的127万套。这比4月修订后的135.2万套下降,低于137万套的市场预期值。独栋住宅开工数下降5.2%,降至98.2万套,而五套或五套以上建筑的开工数为27.8万套。

  • 20245月的建筑许可数据也下降了3.8%,降至经季节性调整后的年化138.6万套,低于4月的144万套,为20206月以来的最低水平,低于市场预期的145万套。

  • 费城联储6月的经济指数下跌3点,降至1.3,为20241月以来的最低水平,低于市场预期的5.2。当前出货指数下降6,跌至-7.2,为12月以来的最低水平。新订单指数虽然仍在负的区域,但从5月的     -7.9改善至6月的-2.2

  • 就业指数上升,但连续8个月维持收缩,意味着就业水平持续下降。

  • 就价格指数而言,两个价格指数都显示出整体价格持续上涨。支付价格指数上涨4点至22.5,而当前价格指数飙升7点至13.7

  • 大多数未来活动的指标保持正增长的区域,但指向未来六个月的增长预期不高。

市场反应

美国国债收益率在数据公布后略有上升,10年期美国国债收益率从4.23%升至4.26%

与此同时,对利率敏感的2年期美国国债收益率稳定在4.73%不变。

美元保持盘中涨幅,美元指数(DXY)当天上涨了0.3%

周四盘前交易时段,美国主要股指期货走高。标普500指数和纳斯达克100 指数期货分别上涨了0.3%0.4%,但在经济数据公布后,两个指数的涨幅略有缩减。

懂行的,选盈透!

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