台 风 公 报
预报:王慧 签发:董林
2024 年 11 月 17 日 10 时
“万宜”将在菲律宾东部沿海登陆
中央气象台11月17日10时继续发布台风蓝色预警:
今年第24号台风“万宜”(超强台风级)的中心今天(17日)上午8点钟位于菲律宾马尼拉偏东方向约220公里的洋面上,就是北纬14.9度、东经123.0度,中心附近最大风力17级(58米/秒),中心最低气压为925百帕,七级风圈半径150-250公里,十级风圈半径80-110公里,十二级风圈半径50公里。
预计,“万宜”将以每小时25-30公里的速度向西北方向移动,将于17日下午在菲律宾吕宋岛东部沿海登陆(强台风级或超强台风级,50-58米/秒),之后穿过吕宋岛于17日夜间至18日凌晨进入南海东部海面,并向海南岛东部海面靠近,强度逐渐减弱。
大风预报:17日14时至18日14时,受冷空气和“万宜”的共同影响,南海北部和中部、巴士海峡、台湾海峡、台湾以东洋面、东沙群岛、西沙群岛、福建沿海、台湾岛沿海、广东沿海、海南岛东部和南部沿海有6-8级风,阵风9-10级,其中台湾海峡、巴士海峡西南部海域、南海中部和北部的偏东海域风力有9-10级,阵风11-12级,台风中心经过的海域或地区风力有11-13级,阵风14-15级。
海洋天气公报
预报:王慧 签发:柳龙生
2024 年 11 月 17 日 18 时
我国近海将有8级以上大风
一、近海海域天气实况
11月17日02时至14时,渤海、黄海大部海域、东海大部海域、台湾海峡、台湾以东洋面、南海北部海域出现了5~7级、阵风8级的东北风或偏北风,巴士海峡出现了5~6级、阵风7级的偏东风,其中东海部分海域、台湾海峡和南海东北部部分海域出现了8级、阵风9~10级的大风。
二、未来三天具体预报
17日20时至18日20时,南海中东部海域将有11~12级、阵风13~14级减弱到9~10级、阵风11级的旋转风,南海东北部海域将有9~10级、阵风11级的东北风,台湾海峡、巴士海峡将有7~9级、阵风10级的偏东到东北风,黄海南部海域、东海大部海域、台湾以东洋面将有6~8级、阵风9级的偏北到东北风,黄海北部和中部海域、南海西北部海域将有5~7级、阵风8级的偏北到东北风,渤海、渤海海峡、北部湾、琼州海峡、南海中西部和西南部海域将有4~6级、阵风7级的偏北到东北风。
18日20时至19日20时,南海东北部海域将有11~12级、阵风13~14级减弱到9~10级、阵风11级的旋转风,台湾海峡、巴士海峡、南海西北部海域将有7~9级、阵风10级的偏北到东北风,东海南部海域、台湾以东洋面将有6~8级、阵风9级的东北风,南海中西部海域将有6~7级、阵风8级的东北风,渤海将有4~6级、阵风7级的偏西到西南风,黄海南部海域、东海北部海域、北部湾、琼州海峡、南海南部海域将有4~6级、阵风7级的偏北到东北风。
19日20时至20日20时,南海西北部海域将有7~9级、阵风10级的偏北风,台湾海峡、南海东北部海域将有6~8级、阵风9级的东北风,东海南部海域、台湾以东洋面、巴士海峡将有6~7级、阵风8级的东北风,渤海将有4~6级、阵风7级的偏西风,北部湾、琼州海峡、南海中西部和西南部海域将有5~6级、阵风7级的偏北到东北风。
三、未来4~7天天气展望
预计,20日夜间至21日白天,受冷空气影响,东海南部海域、台湾海峡、台湾以东洋面、巴士海峡、南海北部和西部海域、北部湾将有6~8级、阵风9级的大风。21日夜间至24日白天,受另一股冷空气影响,黄海大部海域、东海大部海域、台湾海峡、台湾以东洋面、巴士海峡、南海北部和中部海域、北部湾将有6~8级、阵风9级的偏北到东北风。
海事天气公报
ZCZC
WWCI50 BABJ 170600
2:2:31:11:11:00
BT
PAN PAN =
MESSAGE FOR METAREA XI (CHINA) ISSUED BY NMC BEIJING
AT 1015UTC NOV.17 2024 =
MESSAGE IS UPDATED EVERY 06 HOURS =
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600UTC NOV.17 =
FCST VALID 0600UTC NOV.18 =
WARNNING=
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNNING=
SuperTY MAN-YI 2424(2424) 925HPA AT 15.8N 122.0E
MVG WNW 31KMH AND MAX WINDS 58M/S NEAR CENTER
(SEAS UP TO 12M)
AND RADIUS OF 30KTS WINDS
250KM NE
220KM SE
150KM SW
250KM NW
AND RADIUS OF 50KTS WINDS
110KM NE
90KM SE
80KM SW
100KM NW
AND RADIUS OF 64KTS WINDS
50KM NE
50KM SE
50KM SW
50KM NW
AND FCST FOR 171800UTC AT 17.5N 119.1E 970HPA
AND MAX WINDS 35M/S NEAR CENTER
AND FCST FOR 180600UTC AT 18.6N 116.8E 975HPA
AND MAX WINDS 33M/S NEAR CENTER=
SUMMARY=
NE/NLY WINDS FROM 10 TO 14M/S GUSTS 18M/S SEAS UP
TO 2.0M OVER YELLOW SEA AND EAST CHINA SEA AND
TAIWAN STRAIT AND SEA EAST OF TAIWAN AND NORTHERN
PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA AND EAST CENTRAL SOUTH
CHINA SEA=
ELY WINDS FROM 10 TO 14M/S GUSTS 18M/S SEAS UP TO
2.0M OVER BASHI CHANNEL AND SEA NORTHEAST OF THE
PHILIPPINES=
HORIZONTAL VISIBILITY LESS THAN 10KM OVER
NORTHWESTERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA AND
NORTHWESTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA AND
SOUTHWESTERN PART OF JAPAN SEA AND ANDAMAN SEA AND
SEA EAST OF SINGAPORE AND SEA SOUTH OF SUMATERA
AND SUNDA STRAIT AND LAUT JAWA AND MAKASSAR STRAIT
AND SEA SOUTHWEST OF THE PHILIPPINES AND LAUT
MALUKU=
FCST=
BOHAI SEA
N WINDS VEER NE 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA
STATE MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
BOHAI STRAIT
N WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
NORTHERN PART OF YELLOW SEA
N WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE TO ROUGH SUNNY BECMG CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
CENTRAL PART OF YELLOW SEA
N WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
SOUTHERN PART OF YELLOW SEA
N WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA
N WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S INCR 16 TO
20M/S GUSTS 20 TO 24M/S SEA STATE ROUGH TO VERY
ROUGH OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA
NE WINDS 16 TO 20M/S GUSTS 20 TO 24M/S SEA STATE
VERY ROUGH LIGHT RAIN BECMG OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
TAIWAN STRAIT
NE WINDS 20 TO 24M/S GUSTS 24 TO 28M/S SEA STATE
VERY ROUGH OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
SEA EAST OF TAIWAN
NE WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S INCR 16 TO
20M/S GUSTS 20 TO 24M/S SEA STATE ROUGH TO VERY
ROUGH OVERCAST BECMG MODERATE RAIN VIS GOOD TO
MODERATE=
BASHI CHANNEL
E WINDS 24 TO 28M/S GUSTS 28 TO 32M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH OVERCAST BECMG MODERATE RAIN VIS GOOD TO
MODERATE=
BEIBU GULF
NE WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S INCR 08 TO
12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE SLIGHT TO
MODERATE OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
QIONGZHOU STRAIT
E WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S BACK NE
WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
NORTHWESTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA
NE WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
NORTHEASTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA
NE WINDS 20 TO 24M/S GUSTS 24 TO 28M/S BACK N
WINDS 20 TO 24M/S GUSTS 24 TO 28M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH TO HIGH OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
WEST CENTRAL SOUTH CHINA SEA
NE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE TO ROUGH CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
EAST CENTRAL SOUTH CHINA SEA
N WINDS BACK S 32 TO 36M/S GUSTS 36 TO 40M/S SEA
STATE ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH CLOUDY BECMG MODERATE
RAIN VIS GOOD TO MODERATE=
SOUTHWESTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA
NE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
SOUTHEASTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA
NE WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S DECR 04 TO
06M/S GUSTS 06 TO 08M/S SEA STATE MODERATE CLOUDY
VIS GOOD=
NORTHEASTERN PART OF JAPAN SEA
NW WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S INCR 16 TO
20M/S GUSTS 20 TO 24M/S SEA STATE ROUGH TO VERY
ROUGH LIGHT SNOW BECMG MIDDLE SNOW VIS GOOD TO
MODERATE=
SOUTHWESTERN PART OF JAPAN SEA
NW WINDS VEER N 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA
STATE ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH LIGHT RAIN VIS GOOD=
KOREA STRAIT
N WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH LIGHT RAIN VIS GOOD=
SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN
N WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE TO ROUGH OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
SEA EAST OF RYUKYU ISLANDS
N WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S VEER NE
WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE TO ROUGH OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
SEA WEST OF BONIN ISLANDS
W WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S VEER N WINDS
06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE MODERATE
LIGHT RAIN BECMG OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
SEA NORTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES
SE WINDS 16 TO 20M/S GUSTS 20 TO 24M/S BACK NE
WINDS 16 TO 20M/S GUSTS 20 TO 24M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH TO MODERATE OVERCAST BECMG MODERATE RAIN VIS
GOOD TO MODERATE=
SEA WEST OF NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS
E WINDS 04 TO 06M/S GUSTS 06 TO 08M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
SEA SOUTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES
E WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE MODERATE RAIN BECMG CLOUDY VIS MODERATE
TO GOOD=
SEA WEST OF GUAM
E WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
SEA NORTHEAST OF INDONESIA
E WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=
SEA SOUTH OF JAWA
SE WINDS BACK E 04 TO 06M/S GUSTS 06 TO 08M/S SEA
STATE MODERATE MODERATE RAIN BECMG CLOUDY VIS
MODERATE TO GOOD=
SEA SOUTH OF SUMATERA
SE WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S DECR 04 TO
06M/S GUSTS 06 TO 08M/S SEA STATE MODERATE
MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=
SEA SOUTH OF VIETNAM
NE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE SUNNY BECMG CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
NNNN
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