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往期回顾
近期Golden免费的NBA推荐成绩还是可以的，此前还是拿下了4倍胜分差实单，今天选择猛龙VS凯尔特人的比赛！相比公推，Golden的重点肯定更加出色！近期就是4中3！昨天就命中4倍彩蛋胜分差实单！今天重心将出击【独行侠VS马刺】+【国王VS爵士】2场的让分方向！记得留意！长按识别下方二维码或点击文末【阅读原文】即可看到！
今日主力
周六308 独行侠VS马刺
周六309 国王VS爵士
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今日免费分析
09:00 NBA 猛龙VS凯尔特人（主）
推荐：猛龙（15.5）
竞篮：周六306 让分主负
胜分差：上方重点图片扫码获取
凯尔特人本赛季展现了强大的攻防能力，攻防效率均位居联盟前列，尤其是在三分线外表现异常出色。然而，随着赛季深入，球队近期状态略有起伏，表现出一定的疲惫迹象：凯尔特人的三分球能力无疑是他们的核心武器，目前场均三分命中数和出手数均排名联盟第1，展现了强大的外线火力。此外，低失误率（场均11.9次，联盟最低）保障了球队的进攻稳定性。然而，球队场均助攻仅25.1次，排名联盟第20，这表明他们更倾向于依赖个人能力解决问题，而非团队配合。
凯尔特人的防守效率排名联盟第7，展现了不错的防守体系，但近期面对雄鹿、篮网等强队时，球队仅以微弱优势胜出，显示出防守端压力增大的趋势。不过在赛程密集的情况下，凯尔特人展现了疲态，面对强队的表现不再如赛季初般强势，同时还出现了被绝杀的情况。这种波动或许会在本场对阵猛龙的比赛中显现。
猛龙虽然在攻防效率上较凯尔特人存在明显差距，但其打法和节奏特点让他们成为难缠的对手，尤其是面对状态起伏的强队时往往能保持竞争力。猛龙的进攻依赖内线冲击和罚球得分，而非三分球。场均三分球出手和命中数均接近联盟垫底，但球队的内线侵略性弥补了外线火力不足。这种打法对凯尔特人这种外线防守强队来说可能是一种牵制。
猛龙的防守效率接近联盟垫底，尤其是在外线防守方面较为薄弱，这或许会成为本场对阵凯尔特人时的主要隐患。猛龙的场均回合数达到100.2，排名联盟第11，体现了他们快节奏的比赛风格。但这种风格也导致了较高的失误率（场均16.2次，联盟第3）。在面对凯尔特人这样擅长抓失误的球队时，这一点需要特别注意。
从双方近期的表现了来看，如果凯尔特人能够依赖三分线外的高效输出，同时在防守端压制猛龙的内线冲击，他们有望稳扎稳打地赢下比赛。但考虑到近期状态起伏，比赛中他们可能会遇到猛龙的顽强抵抗，而猛龙的强项在于韧性和内线冲击力，他们的快节奏和侵略性打法可能会对疲惫的凯尔特人造成干扰。如果他们能够减少失误，限制凯尔特人的三分投射，比赛结果可能会更加接近。因此，本场比赛还不如考虑猛龙。
原文：
The Celtics have shown strong offensive and defensive capabilities this season, and their offensive and defensive efficiency are at the forefront of the league, especially their performance outside the three-point line is exceptionally good. However, as the season progresses, the team's recent state has fluctuated slightly, showing some signs of fatigue: the Celtics' three-point shooting ability is undoubtedly their core weapon. Currently, the average number of three-point hits and shots per game are ranked first in the league, showing strong outside firepower. In addition, the low turnover rate (11.9 times per game, the lowest in the league) ensures the team's offensive stability. However, the team's average assists per game are only 25.1 times, ranking 20th in the league, which shows that they prefer to rely on personal ability to solve problems rather than teamwork.
The Celtics' defensive efficiency ranks 7th in the league, showing a good defensive system, but recently facing strong teams such as the Bucks and the Nets, the team only won by a slight advantage, showing a trend of increasing pressure on the defensive end. However, with a dense schedule, the Celtics showed fatigue, and their performance against strong teams was no longer as strong as at the beginning of the season, and they were also killed. This fluctuation may be reflected in this game against the Raptors.
Although the Raptors have a clear gap in offensive and defensive efficiency compared to the Celtics, their playing style and rhythm characteristics make them a tough opponent, especially when facing strong teams with fluctuating performances. The Raptors' offense relies on inside impact and free throws, rather than three-pointers. The average number of three-point shots and hits per game are close to the bottom of the league, but the team's inside aggressiveness makes up for the lack of firepower on the outside. This style of play may be a restraint for a strong team with outside defense like the Celtics.
The Raptors' defensive efficiency is close to the bottom of the league, especially in terms of weak outside defense, which may become the main hidden danger in this game against the Celtics. The Raptors' average number of possessions per game reached 100.2, ranking 11th in the league, reflecting their fast-paced style of play. But this style also leads to a high turnover rate (16.2 per game, third in the league). When facing a team like the Celtics who are good at catching turnovers, this needs special attention.
Judging from the recent performances of both teams, if the Celtics can rely on efficient output from outside the three-point line and suppress the Raptors' inside impact on the defensive end, they are expected to win the game steadily. However, considering the recent ups and downs, they may encounter the Raptors' tenacious resistance in the game. The Raptors' strengths lie in their toughness and inside impact. Their fast-paced and aggressive play may interfere with the tired Celtics. If they can reduce turnovers and limit the Celtics' three-point shooting, the result of the game may be closer. Therefore, it is better to consider the Raptors in this game.
