Golden篮球
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往期回顾
近期Golden免费的NBA推荐成绩还是可以的，昨天的猛龙不仅拿下！还中了近10倍的胜分差！今天选择太阳VS森林狼的比赛！相比公推，Golden的重点肯定更加出色！近期就是6中4！关键是昨天再次命中了国王vs爵士的胜分差！叠加免费的胜分差，就是接近15倍！今天重心将出击【爵士VS快船】+【篮网VS尼克斯】2场的让分方向！记得留意！长按识别下方二维码或点击文末【阅读原文】即可看到！
今日主力
周日318 爵士VS快船
周日316 篮网VS尼克斯
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今日免费分析
04:30 NBA 太阳vs森林狼（主）
推荐：森林狼让7.5
竞篮：周日309 让分主胜
胜分差：上方重点图片扫码获取
随着唐斯被交易，兰德尔和里德的表现未能填补唐斯离队后的空缺。尽管兰德尔场均20.2分表现中规中矩，但无法在关键时刻提供额外的进攻威胁。戈贝尔在防守端依然可靠，但在进攻端的贡献相对有限。不过，爱德华兹已经成为森林狼的绝对核心。他本赛季的表现虽然进步显著，尤其在三分球命中率和投篮量上，但场均失误的增加也暴露了他在高压环境下的局限性。缺乏其他稳定得分点，使得爱德华兹的进攻负担过重。
森林狼在关键球处理上的能力显著下降，导致多场比赛在最后一攻或轮换阶段被对手逆转，比如对阵热火和开拓者的失利。这种情况与球队缺乏可靠的第二得分点密切相关。因此，现在森林狼需要戈贝尔和兰德尔提供更多的帮助，但这场比赛他们面对的是太阳，后者的内线薄弱，戈贝尔的防守和兰德尔的进攻可能会得到机会。
太阳在杜兰特缺阵的情况下，战绩有所下滑，这不仅体现在进攻端，也显著影响了他们的防守。杜兰特的缺席削弱了太阳的内线防守和篮板保护能力，同时也降低了球队在阵地战中的杀伤力。杜兰特不仅是太阳的主要得分点之一，也是防守体系的核心球员，他的场均6.6个篮板和协防能力对于太阳尤为重要。布克和比尔虽然是顶级得分手，但他们的组合在杜兰特不在场时缺乏足够的稳定性。两人均是后场球员，进攻端更依赖中远距离跳投，难以像杜兰特一样在关键时刻统治比赛。
太阳擅长阵地战，场均回合数99个（联盟中下游），失误控制能力也较强（场均12.5次）。但在面对擅长内线对抗的球队时，他们的内线劣势容易被放大。太阳的慢节奏可能会限制森林狼的反击机会，但森林狼若能通过内线打开局面，掌控禁区，将有望主导比赛。
因此，太阳在杜兰特缺席时失去了内线屏障，这对森林狼而言是一个可利用的关键点。虽然森林狼近期状态不佳，但面对内线劣势明显的太阳，他们有机会通过内线优势扭转颓势，预计森林狼将以小分差取胜或在让分盘上占优。
以下是原文：
With Towns being traded, the performance of Randle and Reed failed to fill the vacancy after Towns left the team. Although Randle averaged 20.2 points per game and performed reasonably well, he was unable to provide additional offensive threats at critical moments. Gobert is still reliable on the defensive end, but his contribution on the offensive end is relatively limited. However, Edwards has become the absolute core of the Timberwolves. Although his performance has improved significantly this season, especially in three-point shooting percentage and shooting volume, the increase in turnovers per game has also exposed his limitations in high-pressure environments. The lack of other stable scoring points makes Edwards' offensive burden too heavy.
The Timberwolves' ability to handle key balls has significantly declined, resulting in many games being reversed by opponents in the final attack or rotation stage, such as the losses against the Heat and Trail Blazers. This situation is closely related to the team's lack of a reliable second scoring point. Therefore, the Timberwolves now need more help from Gobert and Randall, but in this game they face the Suns, whose interior is weak, and Gobert's defense and Randall's offense may get opportunities.
The Suns' record has declined in Durant's absence, which is not only reflected on the offensive end, but also significantly affects their defense. Durant's absence weakened the Suns' interior defense and rebound protection capabilities, and also reduced the team's lethality in positional battles. Durant is not only one of the Suns' main scoring points, but also a core player in the defensive system. His 6.6 rebounds per game and assisting defense ability are particularly important to the Suns. Although Booker and Beal are top scorers, their combination lacks sufficient stability when Durant is not on the court. Both are backcourt players who rely more on mid- and long-range jumpers on the offensive end. It is difficult for them to dominate the game at critical moments like Durant.
The Suns are good at positional warfare, averaging 99 rounds per game (middle to lower in the league), and have strong error control capabilities (averaging 12.5 times per game). But when facing teams that are good at inside confrontation, their inside disadvantages can easily be magnified. The Suns' slow pace may limit the Timberwolves' counterattack opportunities, but if the Timberwolves can open up the situation through the inside and control the penalty area, they will be expected to dominate the game.
Therefore, the Suns lose their interior screen in Durant's absence, which is a key point for the Timberwolves to exploit. Although the Timberwolves have been in poor form recently, facing the Suns, who have obvious disadvantages inside, they have the opportunity to reverse their decline through their inside advantage. It is expected that the Timberwolves will win by a small margin or have an advantage in the handicap.
